Thursday, August 27, 2009

Good Fair Weather Today... Not so much in next few days... And more on TS Danny

Ah, its the start of the Great-Minnesota Get Together. The sign that summer is coming to an end for a lot of people (for some, its already ended) and typically hot and humid. Well, in 2009 the first part is still true, but at least for this first weekend that second part will be far from the truth. Because the State Fair is this weekend, we nominate this for the Weekend Getaway, a new feature for the blog where we will try to highlight an event that occurring or a certain place that you, the reader, are wondering about and give you the weekend forecast for the area. It may not happen every weekend, then again it might not happen after this weekend. A lot of this though comes upon you: We will take suggestions of events or locations you want the Weekend Getaway to be. To do this, leave me a comment at either my Facebook page or at the official blog at http://weathrlver.blogspot.com . Bring your suggestions, and if its an event, make sure you include the dates of it -- the best way to do events though is to submit them early in the week of the occurrence. That way it'll still be fresh in my mind before the weekend comes. And this weekends is easy -- it may be a degree or two warmer in St. Paul this weekend, but it will be just about the same weather we get here in St. Cloud.

We'll start off with the good news: One more day of summer-like weather today! Sunshine should regin for most of the day and we will approach a high of 80.

Tonight the cold front will start to push into the area, bringing with it mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of some showers and storms my morning, not likely to drop much if any rainfall overnight. Low 56.

Friday some showers and storms will continue over the area as the cold front moves though... should be scattered and we won't get much rain. Rain should clear out by afternoon, but it will remain cloudy with a high of 70.

Friday Night we'll see skies start to clear out as another cold front moves through, but some mighty fine cold air will be moving over the area with a low of 47. Wind chills possible.

Saturday has the chance of an isolated shower, otherwise we'll see a mix of clouds and sun with the coldest air so far this "warm" season with a temperature more typical of late September with a high of 65. (Record cold high: 59 in 1965)

Saturday Night the core of the cold air will move over us, and with clear skies and calming winds we will see lows reaching an incredible 42 for this time of year. (Record cold low: 38 in 1974)

Sunday should be a little warmer with sunnier skies, but highs will only top out around 69.

Looking ahead we should see highs start moderating back upward, and could see highs in the lower 80s for the last weekend of the State Fair.

The Tropics

Tropical Storm Danny is attempting to get a little bit more organized in the area of the Bahamas, but there is still much uncertain about this storm. Latest forecasts have this storm just skirting the Outer Banks and the Cape Cod area, but with Danny moving more westward in the latest forecast the model tracks could move more leftward in the next few hours, posing more of a threat to the coast. Either way, Danny is expected to become a hurricane sometime tomorrow night, but only remain a minimal hurricane with winds 75-80 mph. Whether this storm just misses the coast, or actually makes a landfall in New England, the east coast is expected to see some heavy rainfall and increasing wave height over the weekend, along with some gusty winds.

Meanwhile, we are watching a wave out by Africa that has about a 30% chance of becoming a system within the next 48 hours. Current models picking up on this wave have this becoming out next TS, and even Hurricane, within the next 5-7 days by the name of Erika.

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