Saturday, May 30, 2009

Severe Weather Threat on Sunday

We are looking at the possibility of some severe weather developing around the area during the afternoon and evening hours on Sunday. The slight risk area currently encompasses an area along and south of a line from Wahpeton to Menahga to Pequot Lakes to Aitkin to Moose Lake to Hayward all the way down through a good portion of Iowa. The outlook also shows there is a 30% circle (in other words, a greater chance) of the severe weather stretching from Ortonville to Glenwood to STC to the Twin Cities and southward.

Storms will form along an approaching cold front during the afternoon hours on Sunday. Within the first few hours of storm initiation there should be enough energy to develop some discrete supercell thunderstorms. These will be capable of large hail, damaging winds, and the possibility of a couple stray tornadoes in the mix, though it is looking the greatest risk of any tornadoes may be in SD and NE.

Approaching the evening, the storms will likely become more linear and move southeastward. During this phase the threat will mainly be large hail and damaging winds.

According to the NWS in Chanhassen, the greatest threat will be from noon to 7 PM, especially from the northern portion of the area (including STC, Alex, and Willmar).

Overall, tomorrow could turn out to be interesting. Tomorrow could still turn out to be a bust for the area. Stay tuned and we will update as needed.



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